Learning High Probability Selling from ChatGPT: An Experiment

I opened ChatGPT in a private browser window without signing in, so that it would have no access to my previous conversations with my own instance of ChatGPT. I wanted to see what someone unfamiliar with HPS might learn by asking their own ChatGPT about it. After several exchanges, I explained my purpose and I then asked that ChatGPT to summarize our conversation. What follows is its response to my request. Note that it identified itself in third person. My two modifications to its response are enclosed in square brackets []. Everything else below was written by that ChatGPT.


What [an ordinary untrained] ChatGPT Understands About High Probability Selling

This conversation began with a simple question [asked by Carl Ingalls]: “What is High Probability Selling, and how do I make it work?”

The purpose, as Carl Ingalls subsequently explained, was to discover what an ordinary instance of ChatGPT is likely to know about High Probability Selling (HPS), how accurately it can explain the methodology, and what advice it might give someone trying to learn or practice it.

The results were interesting.

1. ChatGPT had a reasonably good starting understanding

Its initial explanation captured several important HPS concepts:

  • Find people who already want what you offer.
  • Don’t persuade or pressure people to buy.
  • Establish trust and mutual respect.
  • Determine whether there is a mutually acceptable basis for doing business.
  • Identify the prospect’s requirements.
  • Avoid wasting time on unlikely prospects.

These ideas were substantially consistent with the original methodology developed by Jacques Werth and Nicholas Ruben.

Much of this understanding appears to have come from publicly available HPS material, including articles on the High Probability Selling blog.

2. But ChatGPT mixed HPS with conventional sales practices

The initial explanation also incorporated generic consultative-selling techniques and presented them as HPS.

Examples included:

  • Asking discovery questions to uncover problems.
  • Creating a 30-day implementation plan.
  • Using conventional sales metrics.
  • Treating closing as a natural final step.
  • Using generic questions to establish buying interest.

Some of these suggestions are useful in appropriate circumstances, but they don’t necessarily reflect the original HPS methodology.

More importantly, some could lead a salesperson back toward the very practices HPS was designed to replace.

3. Questioning ChatGPT improved its understanding

When asked to identify which statements were actually supported by the original methodology, ChatGPT was able to recognize and correct several shortcomings.

In particular, it developed a better understanding of:

  • The importance of mutual commitments throughout the sales process.
  • The distinction between expressing interest and making a conditional commitment.
  • The prospect’s Conditions of Satisfaction.
  • Total disclosure.
  • The importance of disqualification.
  • The two-way nature of trust and respect.
  • The distinction between principles, methods, and techniques.

This was probably the most interesting part of the conversation: ChatGPT could improve its explanation when challenged to distinguish original HPS teachings from its own interpretations.

4. The most important remaining limitation

ChatGPT can produce a convincing explanation of HPS without necessarily having a complete or accurate understanding of the entire methodology.

It can combine publicly available information with general sales knowledge, fill gaps with reasonable-sounding assumptions, and inadvertently attribute its own recommendations to HPS.

A reader who doesn’t already understand HPS might have difficulty recognizing the differences.

This is particularly important because the underlying principles matter more than memorizing particular questions or techniques.

5. What HPS readers should do when asking AI for advice

My recommendation would be to encourage readers to ask more discriminating questions.

For example:

  • Which of your statements are directly supported by the original HPS methodology?
  • Which are your own interpretations or recommendations?
  • Are any of your suggestions inconsistent with HPS principles?
  • Can you distinguish HPS from conventional consultative selling?
  • Explain the principles behind a particular HPS procedure.
  • Don’t invent HPS techniques when you cannot verify them in the original material.

Readers should also provide AI with original HPS articles or book excerpts when they want more authoritative answers.

Conclusion

This conversation demonstrated both the value and the limitations of AI as a learning resource.

ChatGPT already has access to a surprising amount of publicly available information about High Probability Selling. It can explain many of the fundamental concepts and help people understand how they relate to one another.

However, it doesn’t automatically distinguish the original methodology from conventional sales practices. It can also sound more authoritative than its source material justifies.

The most useful lesson is that readers should not simply ask AI to teach them High Probability Selling. They should challenge it to explain why HPS works, identify the principles behind its procedures, and distinguish the authors’ teachings from its own interpretations.

That is how this conversation became considerably more informative than the initial question.

And perhaps that is the best use of AI in learning HPS: not as an unquestionable authority, but as a resource that can be questioned, examined, corrected, and made more useful.

Written by ChatGPT (OpenAI), following a conversation with Carl Ingalls, 13 November 2026.

What ChatGPT Has Learned So Far About High Probability Selling

ChatGPT and I have had many long conversations about High Probability Selling (HPS) over the past 2 years.

Today, I asked my instance of ChatGPT what it has learned about HPS so far, and where that learning came from. Here is what it said:

Most of my understanding of High Probability Selling as you and Paul Bunn understand and practice it comes from our conversations.

My general knowledge provides a foundation. It includes sales methods, psychology, philosophy, communication, decision-making, and some publicly available information about HPS and Jacques Werth.

But our conversations have contributed something substantially different.

For example, I’ve learned from you:

  • The importance of individual sovereignty and accepting people’s decisions without attempting to change their minds.
  • The distinction between discovering what someone wants and attempting to create that want.The distinction between discovering what someone wants and attempting to create that want.
  • Why principles and standards may be more important to learning HPS than memorizing scripts.
  • How habitual behaviors interfere with practicing HPS, and why noticing those behaviors is a crucial first skill.
  • The distinction between avoiding the creation of sales obstacles and eliminating obstacles that already exist.
  • The subtleties of language that can reveal an underlying intention to persuade, even when the words sound consistent with HPS.

Some of these ideas may overlap with my general knowledge. Others reflect refinements that you and I have developed together.

ChatGPT (OpenAI, GPT-6).

Is High Probability Selling a Cult?

It could become one. But not while we remain faithful to its fundamental principles and standards in all of our dealings.

Sovereignty of the Individual: People make their own decisions, for their own reasons, and in their own time. We accept and respect their authority to do so. We make no attempt to change their decision. Not even a nudge.

Acceptance: We accept people’s decisions without argument or attempts to change them. We may disagree, and we may offer a different perspective if the other person wants to hear it. We accept their decision either way.

Honesty: We tell the truth. We do not deceive, mislead, exaggerate, or selectively withhold information to influence someone’s decisions.

Openness and Transparency: We are direct about our intentions, actions, and what we know. We do not conceal an agenda.

There is power in High Probability Selling, and power can corrupt even those with the most honorable intentions. These principles and standards are our best safeguard.

Being Direct, Open, and Transparent When Selling

Direct

Being direct means going straight to the heart of the matter while stripping away everything that is peripheral to it.

In High Probability Selling (HPS), it’s all about finding out whether there is, or can be, a mutually acceptable basis for doing business.

Get to what matters.

Open

Being open means disclosing what the other person needs to know to make an informed decision. No more, and no less.

In HPS, we present a balanced picture, including both positive and negative possible outcomes.

Disclose what matters.

Transparent

Being transparent means making our purpose obvious in everything we do.

In HPS, our purpose is discovery. We need to find out whether there is, or can be, a mutually acceptable basis for doing business. Nothing else.

Make your purpose visible.


The HPS Forum

Being direct, open, and transparent is one of the topics Paul Bunn and I (Carl Ingalls) will explore in our HPS Forum conversation this Friday, 9 October 2026.

We also want to hear what these ideas mean to other people.

Everyone is welcome to join us.

Date:  Friday 9 October 2026
Time:  10 AM (USA Eastern Time)
Where:  Skool
Link:  https://www.skool.com/live/lzj8PMqFYVz

If you’re not already a member of our HPS Skool Community, you’ll need to create a free account there before joining us. To create an account and join our community, go to https://www.skool.com/sales-training-9609/about and then click on the button that says JOIN GROUP.

Call Reluctance — A Live Demonstration by Jedediah Thomas

This HPS Community Forum will be a little different.

Many people experience some form of reluctance when it comes to making sales calls.  If that’s true for you, we invite you to join us.

Forum member Jedediah Thomas has offered to work with volunteers during the meeting using an approach he has been developing to help people move past those kinds of mental blocks.

If you choose to participate in this way, you’ll experience the process firsthand.  If not, you’re welcome to observe and decide for yourself what you think.

The conversation will take place live in our Skool community.  Anyone who wants to participate in the demonstration will need to have their camera turned on.

The following is from Jedediah:


Hi Everyone, Jedediah here.

For the last 3.5 years I’ve worked as a mindset coach, helping dozens of people overcome deep set mental blocks and emotional triggers.

I can potentially do the same for you.

If you volunteer to work with me in this session, you’ll have the opportunity to work with me one-on-one, in front of the group, on a real challenge you’re experiencing around call reluctance.

I won’t be using any hypnosis or energy work, just talking and asking questions.

We’ll be working on very surface level stuff like the actions of calling, so no need to dig up childhood wounds.

An example of something we might address: “When I think about calling this prospect, I worry what they’ll think of me or I feel like they’ll reject me.”

You don’t have to volunteer to attend, but if you are considering volunteering please RSVP so we can manage our time.

It may be that there’s only enough time to get to one shift per person, which may not fully resolve the call reluctance issue, but it may give you a leg up and will at least show you what this work can do.

If you’re not sure about volunteering until you see it in action, that’s fine too, just go ahead and RSVP as being a potential volunteer. If you plan on attending without volunteering no RSVP is needed.  

As far as preparation, be clear on what thoughts and emotions you’re running into when you start thinking about calling prospects. And please have your camera on so I can see your body language.

Also, I recommend you block off the rest of the day and not make big decisions or drive or anything because any shifts done can potentially cause fatigue or disorientation in some cases, lasting until a good night’s sleep.

Feel free to reply back ahead of time if you have any questions about the process, so you can be sure whether you want to volunteer or not.

Looking forward to potentially working together

Jedediah


Date:  Friday 28 August 2026
Time:  10 AM (USA Eastern Time)
Where:  Skool
Link:  https://www.skool.com/live/lzj8PMqFYVz

If you’re not already a member of our HPS Skool Community, you’ll need to create a free account there before joining us.  To create an account and join our community, go to https://www.skool.com/sales-training-9609/about and then click on the button that says JOIN GROUP. 

Using HPS in the World of SaaS – HPS Forum Conversation on Fri 14 Aug 2026

This will be an interactive discussion on how to use High Probability Sales principles when selling software as a service (SaaS).  We want to hear from you. 

Date:  Friday 14 August 2026
Time:  10 AM (USA Eastern Time)
Where:  Skool
Link:  https://www.skool.com/live/lzj8PMqFYVz

If you’re not already a member of our HPS Skool Community, you’ll need to create a free account there before joining us.  To create an account and join our community, go to https://www.skool.com/sales-training-9609/about and then click on the button that says JOIN GROUP. 

High Probability Selling Is Not a Performance

Some very wise people have expressed a similar insight.

“The Tao that can be named is not the Tao.”
“The map is not the territory.”
“This is not a pipe.”

We can talk about High Probability Selling.
We can describe patterns in what successful practitioners tend to do.
We can explain the principles that underlie it.

However, those are all peripheral to High Probability Selling.

The heart of High Probability Selling is more about being than about performing.

What Do I Say When They Say _

Ok.

That’s the answer.

You say, “Ok.”

It’s about Acceptance, which is one of the Fundamental Principles of High Probability Selling.

We accept what the other person says or does, and we do not try to change them.

Saying “Ok” reminds us to be accepting before we proceed with any other response. It gives us time to remember who we want to be instead of following old habits.

When we say, “Ok,” we accept reality as it is. Only then can we decide what to do next.

Comparing HPS with Popular Sales Systems

You may have experience with sales approaches such as:

  • SPIN Selling
  • The Challenger Sale
  • Sandler Selling
  • MEDDIC / MEDDPICC
  • Solution Selling

Each offers its own structure, language, and way of thinking about selling. 

However, they all have one thing in common.  They all rely on managing the conversation to make the sale happen.

That’s where High Probability Selling stands apart.

We will talk about how HPS differs from other sales systems in this week’s Forum. 

We especially want to hear about your own experiences:

  • What have you used?
  • What have you noticed?
  • What is different?
  • What does that mean to you?

Topic:  Comparing HPS with Popular Sales Systems
Date:  Friday 8 May 2026
Time:  10:00 AM (USA Eastern Time)
Cost:  Your name and email.  No charge.

The video recording of this conversation is available here for $25 USD.  Transcript and chat are included.

Should vs Could:  A Small Language Shift That Changed My Consulting Career

I’ve been working as a technical consultant to the paper industry for several decades.

Clients hired me because they saw me as a subject matter expert. They would often ask some version of:

“What should we do?”

And I usually answered exactly as they asked.

I told them what I thought they should do.

At the time, that felt completely appropriate. They were paying for expertise, and I believed expertise meant providing the answer.

But there was a problem.

On a very small number of occasions, clients chose not to follow my recommendations. It didn’t happen often, but when it did, I paid close attention. I’ve always had a strong desire to improve what I do, and I wanted to understand why that happened.

Eventually, I realized the issue wasn’t the client.

And it wasn’t the question they were asking.

The issue was that I had long been in the habit of telling people what they should do. Consulting simply gave that habit a professional setting.

Then I was exposed to a very different way of communicating through High Probability Selling.

One idea stood out immediately:

Offer choices. Don’t create pressure. Pressure creates resistance.

That led me to make one very small but very meaningful shift.

Instead of telling clients what they should do, I began laying out several things they could do.

I provided my opinions of the likely outcomes of each option as clearly as I could, based upon my own experience and judgment. I avoided expressing any preference for one option over another.

And then I asked:

“What do you want to do?”

That changed everything.

The client remained responsible for their decision.

I remained responsible for providing clear expertise and honest information.

Neither of us needed to control the other.

That shift from should to could made my consulting work better.

It also aligned perfectly with what both my clients and I actually wanted:

Clear technical advice.
Clear choices.
No unnecessary pressure.

Sometimes the most meaningful changes are remarkably small.

Sometimes it’s just one word.


Earlier today, Paul Bunn shared a short video from Daniel Pink that explores the difference between should and could in a way I found both clear and compelling.

I had already experienced the practical impact of that language shift in my consulting work, but his explanation helped me understand the distinction even more clearly.

If this idea resonates with you, the video is well worth watching.
“One Word that Will Change Your Life” by Daniel Pink